Come rain or shine, the eclipse is on its way. Will you have fair skies?

February 22, 2024 at 8:00 a.m. EST
3 min

On April 8, a total solar eclipse will be visible across North America and leave 31.5 million people in temporary darkness when the moon passes between the sun and Earth and casts its shadow on our planet. But depending on where viewers are, there may be clear skies or a greater chance of clouds blocking this event of a lifetime.

Are clouds going to block

your view of the solar

eclipse? Maybe!

Average cloud fraction for April 8 (1995-2023)

0%

100% cloud

cover

25%

75%

Data not available

CANADA

Montreal

Path of totality

Burlington

UNITED

STATES

Buffalo

Syracuse

Indianapolis

Washington,

D.C.

Carbondale

Little Rock

Dallas

MEXICO

Austin

San Antonio

Torreon

Mazatlan

Source: GOES imagery analysis by University of Wisconsin-

Madison Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite

Studies (CIMSS)

Are clouds going to block your view

of the solar eclipse? Maybe!

Average cloud fraction for April 8 (1995-2023)

0%

100% cloud

cover

25%

50%

75%

Data not available

CANADA

Montreal

Burlington

Toronto

Path of totality

Syracuse

UNITED

STATES

Buffalo

Cleveland

Indianapolis

Washington,

D.C.

Carbondale

Little Rock

Dallas

Austin

San Antonio

MEXICO

Torreon

Mazatlan

Source: GOES imagery analysis by University of Wisconsin-Madison

Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies (CIMSS)

Are clouds going to block your view of the solar eclipse?

Average historic cloud fraction for April 8 (1995-2023)

0%

100% cloud cover

25%

50%

75%

Data not available

CANADA

Montreal

Burlington

Toronto

Syracuse

Buffalo

Rochester

Detroit

UNITED STATES

Cleveland

Path of totality

Washington, D.C.

Indianapolis

Cincinnati

Carbondale

Little Rock

Dallas

Fort Worth

Austin

MEXICO

San Antonio

Torreon

Mazatlan

Source: GOES imagery analysis by University of Wisconsin-Madison Cooperative Institute for Meteorological

Satellite Studies (CIMSS)

Are clouds going to block your view of the solar eclipse? Maybe!

Average historic cloud fraction for April 8 (1995-2023)

0%

100% cloud cover

25%

50%

75%

Data not available

CANADA

Montreal

Burlington

Toronto

Syracuse

Buffalo

Rochester

Detroit

UNITED STATES

Cleveland

Path of totality

Washington, D.C.

Indianapolis

Cincinnati

Carbondale

Little Rock

Dallas

Fort Worth

Austin

San Antonio

MEXICO

Torreon

Mazatlan

Source: GOES imagery analysis by University of Wisconsin-Madison Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies (CIMSS)

Cloud cover could affect one’s view of the eclipse in different ways. Thin cloud cover allows a view of the disk of the moon, but could limit the visibility of prominences coming off the sun’s corona, the outermost part of the sun’s atmosphere. With thick cloud cover, an eclipse-viewer would still experience the darkening of daylight, but would miss features of this year’s particularly active sun.

Average historic cloud

fraction for April 8 (1995-2023)

0%

100% cloud

cover

25%

75%

Least cloud cover around San Antonio

Path of totality

Dallas

Fort Worth

Shreveport

U.S.

Austin

Houston

San Antonio

30% clouds

Corpus

Christi

MEXICO

Laredo

Most cloud cover over Burlington

CANADA

Quebec

North Bay

Montreal

Ottawa

Burlington

80% clouds

Toronto

Path of totality

Rochester

Syracuse

Buffalo

Boston

Bridgeport

U.S.

New York

Philadelphia

200 MILES

Source: GOES imagery analysis by University of Wisconsin-

Madison Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite

Studies (CIMSS)

Average historic cloud fraction for April 8 (1995-2023)

0%

100% cloud

cover

25%

50%

75%

Least cloud cover around San Antonio

Path of totality

Dallas

Fort Worth

Shreveport

U.S.

Austin

Houston

San Antonio

30% clouds

Corpus

Christi

MEXICO

Laredo

Most cloud cover over Burlington

CANADA

Quebec

North Bay

Montreal

Ottawa

Burlington

80% clouds

Toronto

Path of totality

Rochester

Syracuse

Buffalo

Boston

Bridgeport

U.S.

New York

Philadelphia

200 MILES

Source: GOES imagery analysis by University of Wisconsin-Madison

Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies (CIMSS)

Average historic cloud fraction for April 8 (1995-2023)

0%

100% cloud cover

25%

50%

75%

Least cloud cover around San Antonio

Most cloud cover over Burlington

CANADA

Quebec

North Bay

Path of totality

Dallas

Fort Worth

Montreal

Ottawa

Shreveport

Burlington

U.S.

80% clouds

Toronto

Path of totality

Rochester

Austin

Syracuse

Houston

Buffalo

San Antonio

Boston

30% clouds

Bridgeport

Corpus

Christi

U.S.

New York

MEXICO

Laredo

Philadelphia

200 MILES

Source: GOES imagery analysis by University of Wisconsin-Madison Cooperative Institute for Meteorological

Satellite Studies (CIMSS)

There’s a total solar eclipse coming soon. Here’s everything you need to know.

Drawing conclusions about what historical cloud cover will mean for a particular location is even more problematic than doing the same for temperature or precipitation. Cloud fraction, a measure used to convey how often an area has been covered in clouds using satellite imagery, does not provide information about whether the clouds were dense or thin, scattered or broken, or whether the cloud cover lasted all day or burned off with the afternoon sun.

“The climatology of cloud cover is very imprecise. Temperature, precipitation and wind gusts are much easier to record historically,” said Don Paul, former chief meteorologist at WIVB and a regular contributor to the Buffalo News.

Buffalo, along the path of totality, has a higher chance of being cloudy, but that doesn’t mean it is a bad spot for a view of the total solar eclipse. According to Paul, the amount of cloud cover and the opacity of the clouds will be the big factors.

“Climatology for April is a bit easier to forecast, because there is more mixing in the atmosphere and the clearing of dense stratus clouds might be better than in, say, February,” Paul said. “Last April 8, Buffalo had an ideal clear sky. In general, sunshine does begin to increase as April begins in the Great Lakes.”

Texas has a higher chance of being cloud-free, but springtime is severe-weather season for the state.

“Thunderstorms tend to develop in western Texas along the dry line and move eastward from there. Low-level clouds come from the Gulf [of Mexico], moving south to north,” said John Nielsen-Gammon, Texas state climatologist and regents professor at Texas A&M University. “The worst-case scenario is a cold front comes through, with a solid layer of low clouds.”

The eclipse will pass over Texas in the early afternoon and, luckily, thunderstorms often don’t develop until the late afternoon and evening. April, however, is also the beginning of tornado season in the state, which could cause safety concerns for those outside.

The eclipse date will also be peak time for early-season wildflowers in Texas, Nielsen-Gammon added — in case clouds block eclipse plans.

The Northeast is typically

cloudier in April

Average monthly cloud fraction for April

0%

100% cloud

cover

25%

75%

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

Source: NASA Earth Observations

The Northeast is typically cloudier in April

Average monthly cloud fraction for April

0%

100% cloud

cover

25%

50%

75%

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

Source: NASA Earth Observations

The Northeast is typically cloudier in April

Average monthly cloud fraction for April

0%

100% cloud cover

25%

50%

75%

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

Source: NASA Earth Observations

It is important to remember that this is not a forecast. Weather systems can change and shift due to a number of factors, and just because an area generally has cloudy conditions in April does not necessarily mean you will be out of luck if you are in New England on April 8. “Don’t be too pessimistic!” Paul said.

Total solar eclipses don’t happen every year, and the next one viewable in the Lower 48 states won’t occur until 2044, so get outside and let’s hope for clear skies.

Why this year’s total solar eclipse may be extra dramatic

Editing by Emily M. Eng and Jason Samenow. Cloud fraction data for April 8 sourced from GOES imagery analysis by University of Wisconsin-Madison Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies (CIMSS). Monthly cloud fraction data for April averages sourced from NASA Earth Observations.